How do you account for the U.S. being relatively well prepared, but faring very poorly during the pandemic?
There are a lot of headlines about the fact that the countries that were highest ranked in the index and deemed the best prepared countries, like the United States, did not necessarily fare the best during COVID.
That observation made people wonder, well, Does preparedness matter? If these better prepared countries are doing so poorly, does it matter? Can we even prepare for a pandemic in the first place? I'm here to tell you, fortunately, that preparedness absolutely does matter.
A tool like the Index benchmarks the capacities that countries have, including their abilities to diagnose people with a completely novel infection, and to be able to determine if somebody dies, whether it was due to that novel infection. Not all countries have those same abilities, so it's really, really hard to just look at a country’s official case or death reports and then say who did better than who. You have to do some work in order to adjust for big differences in surveillance capacities that countries have, as well as big differences in underlying vulnerabilities that countries have.
Some countries have an older population, so they're just going to be more vulnerable to something like COVID-19 that disproportionately affects the elderly. When you do that, when you address those differences and do a more fair comparison, what we see is that better prepared countries absolutely did better.
That said, there are countries like the United States that stand out as really stunning outliers, and there are probably a lot of reasons for that. A lot of them are still unknown. But I think one important thing to remember is that what we're measuring in the index are capacities.
To put it in a fire safety context, we may be measuring if countries have fire alarms or signs telling people how to exit a building, that's what a capacity is. But, unfortunately, we're not able to measure whether or not, say, a political leader tells its public to ignore the fire alarms and stay inside the building.
So we can't really measure how countries use the tools that they have, and unfortunately there seems to be evidence that that's what happened to the United States; that we underutilized the resources and the pre-pandemic advantages that we had. We really didn't bring all of our resources to bear.
One stark problem the U.S. has that was magnified by the pandemic is racial and ethnic health disparities.
The fact that there were disparities during COVID, deep disparities, is not news to anyone in public health. This is the story of public health, particularly the story of infectious diseases.
In the early days of pandemic preparedness, we developed plans, and then maybe we had an appendix for people whose situation wasn't exactly the average case. And I'm here to tell you that that model is completely wrong. We have to flip that model on its head. We are not going to be able to protect people and save lives in future emergencies unless we center our plans around reducing our inherent vulnerabilities and achieving a more equitable response.
So we have to put equity and social vulnerabilities at the center of our pandemic response and move from there.
What does that mean concretely?
Here's an example. When states finally started publishing COVID case hospitalization and death data broken down by race and ethnicity, it was really shocking. Stunning, horrifying to see the disparities and who was getting COVID, who was being hospitalized with it, and who was dying from it.
But it took a really long time to have those data translated into tailored responses. We did a study where we looked at who was getting tested for COVID, broken down by race/ethnicity and we found that the Latino population, which was one of the hardest hit, was being under tested as a community compared to other patient groups.
So in the future we should know to use the resources that we have in the communities we expect to be hard hit and to make sure they have, as a matter of priority, access to life-saving tools, like tests, and access to safe places to isolate, paid leave so that they don't have to choose between feeding their family and staying home and protecting themselves and others, and making sure treatment is accessible as early as possible to avoid lose of life.